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Compare Barnet vs Salford

Barnet vs Salford Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Barnet vs Salford: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Barnet Barnet Home Team
Salford Salford Away Team
Barnet
59.1
W W W L D D L D W W

Last 10 Matches

Salford
46.7
L L D D W W W L D W

Performance Radar

Barnet
Salford

Categories Won

11

Barnet

4

Draw

0

Salford

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.4

24 / 10 matches

1.7

17 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+11

+11

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
90%

9 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Stead (6 goals)
K. Cesay (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 12 / 2nd Half: 12
1st Half: 2 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
67%

2W / 3 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.2

League Difficulty: 43.0, Opponent Quality: 48.4

46.2

League Difficulty: 42.5, Opponent Quality: 48.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.12

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.28

1.53

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.17

Adjusted Power Rating
59.1

Attack: 77.0, Defense: 54.5, Form: 48.1

46.7

Attack: 54.5, Defense: 44.9, Form: 38.5

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

1
4

16-30'

1

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
2

61-75'

4

76-90+'

3
Barnet
Salford
Barnet

Power Rating Breakdown

59.1

Overall

Attack 77.0
Defense 54.5
Form 48.1
Consistency 53.2
Salford

Power Rating Breakdown

46.7

Overall

Attack 54.5
Defense 44.9
Form 38.5
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

43.0 vs 42.5

Opponent Quality

48.4 vs 48.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Barnet logo Barnet
W
Shrewsbury (38%)
W
Arsenal U21 (42%)
W
Salford (46%)
L
Cambridge U (59%)
D
Bromley (43%)
D
MK Dons (41%)
L
Oxford U (54%)
D
Luton (59%)
Salford logo Salford
L
Chesterfield (44%)
L
Barnet (60%)
D
Shrewsbury (35%)
D
Bradford (55%)
W
Carlisle (58%)
W
Dundee Utd (40%)
W
Utd Manchester (38%)
L
Notts Co (49%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Shrewsbury A
3 - 1 W
38%
Arsenal U21 H
5 - 1 W
42%
Salford H
3 - 1 W
46%
Cambridge U A
1 - 2 L
59%
Bromley H
1 - 1 D
43%
MK Dons H
0 - 0 D
41%
Oxford U H
1 - 2 L
54%
Luton H
2 - 2 D
59%
Harrogate A
2 - 1 W
64%
Gillingham H
6 - 2 W
38%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Chesterfield H
0 - 1 L
44%
Barnet A
1 - 3 L
60%
Shrewsbury H
1 - 1 D
35%
Bradford H
2 - 2 D
55%
Carlisle A
2 - 0 W
58%
Dundee Utd H
3 - 2 W
40%
Utd Manchester A
4 - 1 W
38%
Notts Co A
0 - 3 L
49%
Grimsby H
2 - 2 D
51%
Grimsby A
2 - 1 W
56%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (46.2 vs 46.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Barnet leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Salford's 1.7 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Barnet has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Salford's 1.6.

Barnet has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Salford has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Barnet is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Barnet has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Salford has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Barnet faces a key vulnerability: they have kept only 1 clean sheets in their last 10 matches. If Salford can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Barnet. In practical terms, Barnet would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Barnet, with a 12.4-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent League Two match (2026-08-15), Barnet prevailed 3-1 against Salford. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Barnet secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Salford will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Barnet will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Barnet

Barnet

VS
Salford

Salford

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Barnet

5W 3D 2L · 24 goals scored · 13 conceded

Salford

4W 3D 3L · 17 goals scored · 16 conceded

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