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Compare Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay

Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Barry Town vs Colwyn Bay: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Barry Town Barry Town Home Team
Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay Away Team
Barry Town
55.4
D L W D W L W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Colwyn Bay
44.3
D D L D W W L W L W

Performance Radar

Barry Town
Colwyn Bay

Categories Won

11

Barry Town

3

Draw

1

Colwyn Bay

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 2D, 2L

40%

4W, 3D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.7

7 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+6

+6

0

0

Clean Sheet
50%

5 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Hulbert (6 goals)
J. Davies (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.9

44.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.8

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.17

Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.13

0.88

Actual: 1.0 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
55.4

Attack: 41.1, Defense: 72.8, Form: 56.9

44.3

Attack: 31.6, Defense: 63.3, Form: 38.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

1

16-30'

1
2

31-45'

3
3

46-60'

4
1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

1
Barry Town
Colwyn Bay
Barry Town

Power Rating Breakdown

55.4

Overall

Attack 41.1
Defense 72.8
Form 56.9
Consistency 52.0
Colwyn Bay

Power Rating Breakdown

44.3

Overall

Attack 31.6
Defense 63.3
Form 38.0
Consistency 50.5

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

44.9 vs 44.8

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Barry Town logo Barry Town
D
Haverfordwest (55%)
L
TNS (46%)
W
Penybont (36%)
D
Connah's Quay Nomads (47%)
W
Caernarfon (42%)
L
Colwyn Bay (52%)
W
Penybont (31%)
W
TNS (50%)
Colwyn Bay logo Colwyn Bay
D
Penybont (31%)
D
Connah's Quay Nomads (47%)
L
Caernarfon (42%)
D
Penybont (36%)
W
TNS (50%)
W
Barry Town (56%)
L
Caernarfon (48%)
W
Penybont (31%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Haverfordwest H
1 - 1 D
55%
TNS H
0 - 1 L
46%
Penybont A
2 - 0 W
36%
Connah's Quay Nomads A
1 - 1 D
47%
Caernarfon H
2 - 1 W
42%
Colwyn Bay A
1 - 3 L
52%
Penybont H
1 - 0 W
31%
TNS A
2 - 0 W
50%
Connah's Quay Nomads H
1 - 0 W
42%
Caernarfon A
2 - 0 W
48%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Penybont H
0 - 0 D
31%
Connah's Quay Nomads A
1 - 1 D
47%
Caernarfon H
0 - 2 L
42%
Penybont A
0 - 0 D
36%
TNS A
2 - 0 W
50%
Barry Town H
3 - 1 W
56%
Caernarfon A
0 - 3 L
48%
Penybont H
3 - 1 W
31%
TNS H
0 - 2 L
46%
Barry Town A
1 - 0 W
61%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.9 vs 44.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Barry Town holds the attacking edge with 1.3 goals per match versus Colwyn Bay's 1.0, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Barry Town holds the advantage — allowing just 0.7 goals per game against Colwyn Bay's 1.0.

Barry Town has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Colwyn Bay has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Barry Town is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.0 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Barry Town has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Colwyn Bay has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Barry Town. In practical terms, Barry Town would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Barry Town, with a 11.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-03-14), Colwyn Bay prevailed 3-1 against Barry Town. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Colwyn Bay secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Barry Town will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colwyn Bay will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Cymru Premier match (2026-02-07), Colwyn Bay prevailed 0-1 against Barry Town. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Colwyn Bay achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Barry Town shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Barry Town will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Colwyn Bay will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Barry Town

Barry Town

VS
Colwyn Bay

Colwyn Bay

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Barry Town

6W 2D 2L · 13 goals scored · 7 conceded

Colwyn Bay

4W 3D 3L · 10 goals scored · 10 conceded

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