Bath vs Dover Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Bath vs Dover: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Bath
Home Team
Dover
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Bath
Draw
Dover
Statistical Comparison
3W, 2D, 5L
1W, 1D, 8L
16 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
-6
-15
1 / 10 matches
0 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7
League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.2
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.15
Attack: 48.3, Defense: 24.2, Form: 27.2
Attack: 23.9, Defense: 20.9, Form: 9.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Bath
Dover
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.6 vs 39.7), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Offensively, Bath outperforms Dover with 1.6 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Both defenses are comparable, with Bath conceding 2.2 and Dover conceding 2.3 per match.
Bath has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Dover has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.5 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Dover is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Bath faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.2 goals per match. If Dover can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 9.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 74% win probability for Bath. In practical terms, Bath would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Bath holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.8-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Bath
Dover
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Bath
3W 2D 5L · 16 goals scored · 22 conceded
Dover
1W 1D 8L · 8 goals scored · 23 conceded
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