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Compare Bath vs Farnborough

Bath vs Farnborough Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Bath vs Farnborough: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Bath Bath Home Team
Farnborough Farnborough Away Team
Bath
36.1
D L L W L W L W L D

Last 10 Matches

Farnborough
46.3
L W L W W L D W W L

Performance Radar

Bath
Farnborough

Categories Won

2

Bath

2

Draw

11

Farnborough

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 2D, 5L

50%

5W, 1D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

2.4

24 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-6

-6

+4

+4

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
S. Wilson (4 goals)
M. Bloomfield (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 14
Home Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
40.6

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7

35.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 38.3

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.4

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.2

1.99

Actual: 2.4 | Diff: +0.41

Adjusted Power Rating
36.1

Attack: 48.3, Defense: 24.2, Form: 27.2

46.3

Attack: 68.5, Defense: 28.5, Form: 42.8

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

1
3

16-30'

3
2

31-45'

5
2

46-60'

5
1

61-75'

7
3

76-90+'

2
Bath
Farnborough
Bath

Power Rating Breakdown

36.1

Overall

Attack 48.3
Defense 24.2
Form 27.2
Consistency 49.3
Farnborough

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 68.5
Defense 28.5
Form 42.8
Consistency 38.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

33.0 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

45.7 vs 38.3

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Bath logo Bath
D
Newport (45%)
L
Plymouth (62%)
L
Maidstone (57%)
W
Dorking (39%)
L
Totton (43%)
W
Chesham (43%)
L
Torquay (53%)
W
Chippenham (38%)
Farnborough logo Farnborough
L
Aldershot (42%)
W
Totton (43%)
L
Tonbridge (42%)
W
Dover (25%)
W
Horsham (33%)
L
Hampton & RB (44%)
D
Hornchurch (53%)
W
Chelmsford (40%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Newport H
2 - 2 D
45%
Plymouth H
0 - 3 L
62%
Maidstone H
2 - 3 L
57%
Dorking A
3 - 1 W
39%
Totton A
1 - 2 L
43%
Chesham H
4 - 2 W
43%
Torquay A
1 - 4 L
53%
Chippenham H
1 - 0 W
38%
Maidenhead A
0 - 3 L
48%
Eastbourne A
2 - 2 D
29%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Aldershot A
1 - 2 L
42%
Totton A
6 - 1 W
43%
Tonbridge H
1 - 6 L
42%
Dover A
3 - 1 W
25%
Horsham H
2 - 0 W
33%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 3 L
44%
Hornchurch H
2 - 2 D
53%
Chelmsford H
4 - 2 W
40%
Slough H
2 - 0 W
21%
Dag & Red H
2 - 3 L
40%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 40.6 vs 35.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Farnborough leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Bath's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Bath giving up 2.2 and Farnborough giving up 2.0 per fixture.

Bath has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Farnborough has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Farnborough has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Farnborough faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.0 goals per match. If Bath can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 76% win probability for Farnborough. In practical terms, Farnborough would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Farnborough, with a 10.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Bath

Bath

VS
Farnborough

Farnborough

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Bath

3W 2D 5L · 16 goals scored · 22 conceded

Farnborough

5W 1D 4L · 24 goals scored · 20 conceded

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