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Compare Guoan vs Rongcheng

Guoan vs Rongcheng Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Guoan vs Rongcheng: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Guoan Guoan Home Team
Rongcheng Rongcheng Away Team
Guoan
58.0
D D W W W L D W D W

Last 10 Matches

Rongcheng
49.7
D D D D W W L L W W

Performance Radar

Guoan
Rongcheng

Categories Won

9

Guoan

2

Draw

4

Rongcheng

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 4D, 1L

40%

4W, 4D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+8

+8

+3

+3

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Zhang Yuning (3 goals)
Wei Shihao (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 9
Home Win Rate
57%

4W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

1W / 3 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.7

League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5

48.5

League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 48.9

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.73

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.27

1.35

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.05

Adjusted Power Rating
58.0

Attack: 65.1, Defense: 58.6, Form: 48.9

49.7

Attack: 46.0, Defense: 62.4, Form: 39.4

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

3
5

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

5
Guoan
Rongcheng
Guoan

Power Rating Breakdown

58.0

Overall

Attack 65.1
Defense 58.6
Form 48.9
Consistency 61.3
Rongcheng

Power Rating Breakdown

49.7

Overall

Attack 46.0
Defense 62.4
Form 39.4
Consistency 56.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

48.0 vs 48.0

Opponent Quality

47.5 vs 48.9

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Guoan logo Guoan
D
Rongcheng (57%)
D
Tieren (48%)
W
Taishan (45%)
W
Three Towns (45%)
W
Tonglianglong (47%)
L
Henan (49%)
D
West Coast (61%)
W
Hainiu (34%)
Rongcheng logo Rongcheng
D
Guoan (58%)
D
West Coast (61%)
D
Tonglianglong (42%)
D
Hainiu (39%)
W
Peng City (45%)
W
Taishan (45%)
L
Yingbo (44%)
L
Port (50%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Rongcheng A
2 - 2 D
57%
Tieren H
1 - 1 D
48%
Taishan H
2 - 0 W
45%
Three Towns H
1 - 0 W
45%
Tonglianglong A
3 - 2 W
47%
Henan H
1 - 2 L
49%
West Coast A
1 - 1 D
61%
Hainiu H
4 - 2 W
34%
Port H
2 - 2 D
50%
Yingbo H
3 - 0 W
39%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Guoan H
2 - 2 D
58%
West Coast A
1 - 1 D
61%
Tonglianglong H
1 - 1 D
42%
Hainiu A
1 - 1 D
39%
Peng City A
3 - 2 W
45%
Taishan H
1 - 0 W
45%
Yingbo A
0 - 2 L
44%
Port H
0 - 1 L
50%
Jinmen Tiger A
2 - 1 W
56%
Henan H
3 - 0 W
49%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.7 vs 48.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Guoan holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Rongcheng's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Guoan giving up 1.2 and Rongcheng giving up 1.1 per fixture.

Guoan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rongcheng has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Guoan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Rongcheng has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Guoan. In practical terms, Guoan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Guoan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 2-2 in the Chinese Super League (2026-07-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Guoan

Guoan

VS
Rongcheng

Rongcheng

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Guoan

5W 4D 1L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded

Rongcheng

4W 4D 2L · 14 goals scored · 11 conceded

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