Guoan vs Rongcheng Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Guoan vs Rongcheng: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Guoan
Home Team
Rongcheng
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Guoan
Draw
Rongcheng
Statistical Comparison
5W, 4D, 1L
4W, 4D, 2L
20 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
+8
+3
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4W / 7 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5
League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 48.9
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.27
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.05
Attack: 65.1, Defense: 58.6, Form: 48.9
Attack: 46.0, Defense: 62.4, Form: 39.4
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Guoan
Rongcheng
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 47.7 vs 48.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Guoan holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus Rongcheng's 1.4, though the gap isn't insurmountable.
The defensive records are closely aligned, with Guoan giving up 1.2 and Rongcheng giving up 1.1 per fixture.
Guoan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Rongcheng has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 2.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Guoan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Rongcheng has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Guoan. In practical terms, Guoan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
Guoan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 8.3-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
These two teams drew 2-2 in the Chinese Super League (2026-07-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
Guoan
Rongcheng
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Guoan
5W 4D 1L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded
Rongcheng
4W 4D 2L · 14 goals scored · 11 conceded
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