Belarus vs Kazakhstan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

Belarus has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 64.1 against considerably stronger competition than Kazakhstan (SoS: 41.1). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Few sides can match Belarus in front of goal. Their 2.0 average per fixture tells the story, with A. Sinyavskaya driving that output personally responsible for 2 goals this campaign.

Belarus's backline outperforms Kazakhstan's, with 0.4 goals conceded per match versus 1.1.

Belarus has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 3 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Belarus has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Belarus is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.2 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Belarus is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 20 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Kazakhstan is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Belarus is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Kazakhstan shows signs of decline with 2W in last 7.

💡 Why This Matters: The 44.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belarus. In practical terms, Belarus would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Belarus is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 83.4 vs 38.7, and superior metrics across the board, Belarus should win this comfortably.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-04-18): Kazakhstan defeated Belarus 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Kazakhstan's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Belarus. Notably, Kazakhstan achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Belarus shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Belarus will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Kazakhstan will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the Women's European World Cup Qualifiers (2026-03-07): Belarus defeated Kazakhstan 0-1. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Belarus's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Kazakhstan. Notably, Belarus achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Kazakhstan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Kazakhstan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belarus will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.