Belgium vs N. Macedonia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 56.4 vs 55.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Belgium in front of goal. Their 2.7 average per fixture tells the story, with C. De Ketelaere driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

Defensively, Belgium is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 3 clean sheets, while N. Macedonia leaks 1.8 goals per match.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

N. Macedonia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: N. Macedonia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Belgium is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while N. Macedonia shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 41.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Belgium is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 74.8 vs 33.8, and superior metrics across the board, Belgium should win this comfortably.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - European (2025-10-10). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.