Belgium vs United States Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (56.4 vs 57.4), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Belgium outperforms United States with 2.7 goals per match to 2.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Belgium — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of United States, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Belgium has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

United States has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Belgium is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Belgium has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: United States has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 21.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Belgium. In practical terms, Belgium would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Belgium holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 74.8 against 53.6 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup (2026-07-07): Belgium defeated United States 1-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Belgium's ability to perform on the biggest stage against United States. Notably, Belgium achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against United States shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Belgium completely dominated United States in that encounter, raising serious questions about United States's ability to compete at this level. United States will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Internationals match (2026-03-28), Belgium prevailed 2-5 against United States. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Belgium achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against United States shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 2-5 scoreline was emphatic — Belgium completely dominated United States in that encounter, raising serious questions about United States's ability to compete at this level. United States will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Belgium will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.