Benin vs Ghana Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (63.4 vs 66.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Ghana leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.2 goals per game compared to Benin's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Ghana — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Benin, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Benin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Ghana has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Benin has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Benin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Ghana has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.78 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Ghana is on the rise with 5W in last 9, while Benin shows signs of decline with 2W in last 6.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Ghana faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Benin can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 25.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Ghana. In practical terms, Ghana would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Ghana emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (70.9 vs 45.6) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2025-06-25), Ghana prevailed 4-2 against Benin. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Ghana secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Benin will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Ghana will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.