Benin vs Tunisia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 63.4 vs 68.9), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Tunisia possess a formidable attacking unit, with N/A accounting for 0 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 4.4 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Tunisia is far superior, conceding just 0.8 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Benin leaks 1.8 goals per match.

Benin has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Tunisia has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Tunisia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 4.2 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Benin is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 6 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Tunisia faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Benin can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 38.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Tunisia. In practical terms, Tunisia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Tunisia holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 83.9 against 45.6 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Tunisia a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Internationals Women match (2026-04-12), Tunisia prevailed 1-0 against Benin. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Tunisia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Benin will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Tunisia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.