Benin vs Morocco Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Morocco has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 63.3 against considerably stronger competition than Benin (SoS: 45.4). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Few sides can match Morocco in front of goal. Their 2.2 average per fixture tells the story, with I. Saibari driving that output personally responsible for 5 goals this campaign.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Morocco — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Benin, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Morocco has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Morocco has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.8 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Morocco has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Morocco is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Benin shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 46.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Morocco. In practical terms, Morocco would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Morocco holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 75.3 against 29.2 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Morocco a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.