Benin vs Niger Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.4 vs 49.8), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Niger leads the attacking statistics, averaging 0.9 goals per game compared to Benin's 0.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Niger has the defensive edge, conceding 1.3 per match compared to Benin's 2.0.

Niger has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.4 total goals. Going Under 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for Niger. In practical terms, Niger would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Niger has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 10.9-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams drew 1-1 in the Internationals (2026-06-05). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.