Bermuda vs Cayman Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Context matters here: Cayman's schedule strength (SoS: 58.4) has been notably more demanding than Bermuda's (SoS: 48.1), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Bermuda averaging 1.1 and Cayman averaging 1.1 goals per match.

Defensively, Cayman is far superior, conceding just 1.9 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Bermuda leaks 2.9 goals per match.

Bermuda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cayman has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bermuda is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

❄️ Form Momentum: Cayman is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 7 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cayman faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Bermuda can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 12.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 81% win probability for Cayman. In practical terms, Cayman would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Cayman has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 12.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-06-05): Bermuda defeated Cayman 5-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Bermuda's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Cayman. Bermuda secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Bermuda completely dominated Cayman in that encounter, raising serious questions about Cayman's ability to compete at this level. Cayman will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bermuda will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.