Bermuda vs Jamaica Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Context matters here: Jamaica's schedule strength (SoS: 61.9) has been notably more demanding than Bermuda's (SoS: 48.1), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Bermuda averaging 1.1 and Jamaica averaging 0.9 goals per match.

Jamaica holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.8 goals per game and recording 5 clean sheets, compared to Bermuda's leaky backline that surrenders 2.9 goals per match.

Bermuda has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Jamaica has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking unlikely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Bermuda is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

💡 Why This Matters: The 24.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Jamaica. In practical terms, Jamaica would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Jamaica in this contest. Their superior power rating of 50.7, compared to 26.1 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-10-15): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 4-0. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Jamaica secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-0 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. These two teams met recently in the FIFA World Cup Qualifying - North/Central America (2025-09-05): Jamaica defeated Bermuda 0-4. Winning in a high-pressure tournament like this demonstrates Jamaica's ability to perform on the biggest stage against Bermuda. Notably, Jamaica achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bermuda shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-4 scoreline was emphatic — Jamaica completely dominated Bermuda in that encounter, raising serious questions about Bermuda's ability to compete at this level. Bermuda will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Jamaica will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.