Birmingham vs Durham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Birmingham vs Durham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Birmingham
Home Team
Durham
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Birmingham
Draw
Durham
Statistical Comparison
6W, 0D, 4L
3W, 3D, 4L
16 / 10 matches
14 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
+6
-2
5 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
2W / 6 matches
3W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 50.5
League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.8
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.25
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.16
Attack: 52.4, Defense: 65.5, Form: 59.0
Attack: 44.3, Defense: 44.3, Form: 28.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Birmingham
Durham
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.3 vs 44.9), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Birmingham averaging 1.6 and Durham averaging 1.4 goals per match.
Birmingham's backline outperforms Durham's, with 1.0 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.
Birmingham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Durham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Birmingham is a strong road performer with a 75% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Birmingham has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Birmingham is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Durham shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 14.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Birmingham. In practical terms, Birmingham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Birmingham has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 14.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.
These two teams drew 1-1 in the English WSL 2 (2026-02-08). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Birmingham
Durham
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Birmingham
6W 0D 4L · 16 goals scored · 10 conceded
Durham
3W 3D 4L · 14 goals scored · 16 conceded
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