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Compare Blackburn vs Millwall

Blackburn vs Millwall Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Blackburn vs Millwall: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Blackburn Blackburn Home Team
Millwall Millwall Away Team
Blackburn
40.6
W L L W D L D D W D

Last 10 Matches

Millwall
49.1
L L W L L D W D W W

Performance Radar

Blackburn
Millwall

Categories Won

2

Blackburn

3

Draw

10

Millwall

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 4D, 3L

40%

4W, 2D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-2

-2

+2

+2

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Y. Ohashi (2 goals)
O. Azeez (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
0%

0W / 5 matches

67%

2W / 3 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

29%

2W / 7 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
44.8

League Difficulty: 61.0, Opponent Quality: 58.4

54.7

League Difficulty: 57.0, Opponent Quality: 53.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.84

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.04

0.94

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.16

Adjusted Power Rating
40.6

Attack: 25.3, Defense: 63.2, Form: 28.4

49.1

Attack: 38.4, Defense: 73.3, Form: 41.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1
1

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

1
1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1

76-90+'

1
Blackburn
Millwall
Blackburn

Power Rating Breakdown

40.6

Overall

Attack 25.3
Defense 63.2
Form 28.4
Consistency 57.7
Millwall

Power Rating Breakdown

49.1

Overall

Attack 38.4
Defense 73.3
Form 41.9
Consistency 44.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

61.0 vs 57.0

Opponent Quality

58.4 vs 53.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Blackburn logo Blackburn
W
Strasbourg (40%)
L
Forest (55%)
L
Leicester (54%)
W
Sheff Utd (66%)
D
Coventry (67%)
L
Southampton (72%)
D
Stoke (47%)
D
West Brom (66%)
Millwall logo Millwall
L
Stevenage (44%)
L
Gillingham (50%)
W
Eldense (42%)
L
FC Andorra (56%)
L
Hull (60%)
D
Hull (65%)
W
Oxford U (55%)
D
Leicester (59%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Strasbourg A
2 - 0 W
40%
Forest H
0 - 3 L
55%
Leicester H
0 - 1 L
54%
Sheff Utd A
3 - 1 W
66%
Coventry H
1 - 1 D
67%
Southampton A
0 - 3 L
72%
Stoke A
1 - 1 D
47%
West Brom H
0 - 0 D
66%
Birmingham A
1 - 0 W
64%
Middlesbrough H
0 - 0 D
53%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Stevenage A
0 - 1 L
44%
Gillingham A
0 - 1 L
50%
Eldense A
2 - 1 W
42%
FC Andorra A
1 - 2 L
56%
Hull H
0 - 2 L
60%
Hull A
0 - 0 D
65%
Oxford U H
2 - 0 W
55%
Leicester A
1 - 1 D
59%
Stoke A
3 - 1 W
47%
QPR H
2 - 0 W
53%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 44.8 vs 54.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Millwall outperforms Blackburn with 1.1 goals per match to 0.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Blackburn giving up 1.0 and Millwall giving up 0.9 per fixture.

Millwall has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Blackburn is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 1.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Millwall. In practical terms, Millwall would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Millwall, with a 8.5-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Blackburn

Blackburn

VS
Millwall

Millwall

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Blackburn

3W 4D 3L · 8 goals scored · 10 conceded

Millwall

4W 2D 4L · 11 goals scored · 9 conceded

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