Bodø/Glimt vs Start Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Context matters here: Bodø/Glimt's schedule strength (SoS: 61.9) has been notably more demanding than Start's (SoS: 39.3), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Few sides can match Bodø/Glimt in front of goal. Their 2.6 average per fixture tells the story, with A. Helmersen driving that output personally responsible for 6 goals this campaign.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Bodø/Glimt — 0.9 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Start, who give up 2.3 goals per match at the other end.

Bodø/Glimt has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Bodø/Glimt has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Bodø/Glimt is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Bodø/Glimt is in scorching form, winning 8 of their last 10 matches with 26 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Start is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bodø/Glimt is on the rise with 8W in last 10, while Start shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 58.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bodø/Glimt. In practical terms, Bodø/Glimt would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Bodø/Glimt holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 87.7 against 29.0 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Bodø/Glimt a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In their recent Norwegian Eliteserien match (2026-05-20), Bodø/Glimt prevailed 1-4 against Start. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Bodø/Glimt achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Start shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 1-4 scoreline was emphatic — Bodø/Glimt completely dominated Start in that encounter, raising serious questions about Start's ability to compete at this level. Start will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bodø/Glimt will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.