Bohemians vs Dundalk Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (58.0 vs 48.5), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Bohemians averaging 1.6 and Dundalk averaging 1.5 goals per match.

Defensively, Bohemians holds the advantage — allowing just 0.8 goals per game against Dundalk's 1.2.

Bohemians has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 3 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.

Dundalk has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bohemians has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Bohemians has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Dundalk has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.7 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 13.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 83% win probability for Bohemians. In practical terms, Bohemians would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Bohemians, with a 13.1-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent Irish Premier Division match (2026-06-19), Dundalk prevailed 1-2 against Bohemians. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Dundalk achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bohemians shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Bohemians will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dundalk will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.