Bologna vs Atalanta Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 62.0 vs 63.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

The attacking output of Bologna and Atalanta is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 1.0 and 1.2 goals per game respectively.

Atalanta holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 3 clean sheets, compared to Bologna's leaky backline that surrenders 1.8 goals per match.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Atalanta has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.5 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 77% win probability for Atalanta. In practical terms, Atalanta would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Atalanta, with a 10.9-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-05-17), Bologna beat Atalanta 0-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Bologna achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Atalanta shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Atalanta will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bologna will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.