Bologna vs Roma Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 62.0 vs 56.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Roma possess a formidable attacking unit, with D. Malen accounting for 8 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.3 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

Defensively, Roma holds the advantage — allowing just 1.1 goals per game against Bologna's 1.8.

Bologna has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Roma has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Roma is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Roma is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 23 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Roma is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Bologna shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 32.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Roma. In practical terms, Roma would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Roma holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 73.3 against 40.5 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Roma a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

In the Italian Serie A (2026-04-25), Roma beat Bologna 0-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Roma achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Bologna shows genuine quality and mental strength. Bologna will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Roma will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.