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Compare Bolton vs Rotherham

Bolton vs Rotherham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Bolton vs Rotherham: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Bolton Bolton Home Team
Rotherham Rotherham Away Team
Bolton
57.6
D W L W W W L D D W

Last 10 Matches

Rotherham
35.0
L W D D L D L W L L

Performance Radar

Bolton
Rotherham

Categories Won

12

Bolton

3

Draw

0

Rotherham

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 3D, 2L

20%

2W, 3D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
2.1

21 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-7

-7

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Ruben Rodrigues (3 goals)
S. Nombe (3 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
47.2

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.7

46.9

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 48.2

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.87

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.23

0.82

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.08

Adjusted Power Rating
57.6

Attack: 68.0, Defense: 58.3, Form: 48.6

35.0

Attack: 29.1, Defense: 45.2, Form: 19.4

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2

16-30'

4

31-45'

3

46-60'

3

61-75'

1
6

76-90+'

1
Bolton
Rotherham
Bolton

Power Rating Breakdown

57.6

Overall

Attack 68.0
Defense 58.3
Form 48.6
Consistency 53.2
Rotherham

Power Rating Breakdown

35.0

Overall

Attack 29.1
Defense 45.2
Form 19.4
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

48.7 vs 48.2

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Bolton logo Bolton
D
Everton (43%)
W
Oldham (40%)
L
DAC 1904 (51%)
W
Stockport (54%)
W
Bradford (50%)
W
Bradford (45%)
L
Luton (66%)
D
Bradford (50%)
Rotherham logo Rotherham
L
Sheff Utd (53%)
W
Alfreton (50%)
D
Matlock (47%)
D
Emley (44%)
L
Wycombe (49%)
D
Reading (38%)
L
Luton (66%)
W
L Orient (40%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Everton H
0 - 0 D
43%
Oldham A
3 - 1 W
40%
DAC 1904 A
1 - 2 L
51%
Stockport H
4 - 1 W
54%
Bradford A
1 - 0 W
50%
Bradford H
1 - 0 W
45%
Luton H
2 - 3 L
66%
Bradford A
1 - 1 D
50%
Huddersfield H
3 - 3 D
48%
Stevenage H
5 - 1 W
40%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Sheff Utd H
0 - 2 L
53%
Alfreton A
1 - 0 W
50%
Matlock A
1 - 1 D
47%
Emley A
1 - 1 D
44%
Wycombe A
2 - 3 L
49%
Reading H
1 - 1 D
38%
Luton H
0 - 2 L
66%
L Orient A
2 - 0 W
40%
Wigan A
0 - 3 L
52%
Barnsley H
1 - 3 L
43%

AI Analysis

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (47.2 vs 46.9), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Bolton's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with Ruben Rodrigues leading the charge (3 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Bolton's backline outperforms Rotherham's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.6.

Bolton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Rotherham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Bolton has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Rotherham is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Bolton is on the rise with 5W in last 10, while Rotherham shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 22.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Bolton. In practical terms, Bolton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Bolton emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (57.6 vs 35.0) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Bolton

Bolton

VS
Rotherham

Rotherham

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Bolton

5W 3D 2L · 21 goals scored · 12 conceded

Rotherham

2W 3D 5L · 9 goals scored · 16 conceded

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