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Compare M'gladbach vs Wolfsburg

M'gladbach vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare M'gladbach vs Wolfsburg: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

M'gladbach M'gladbach Home Team
Wolfsburg Wolfsburg Away Team
M'gladbach
62.7
W W W L W D D L D D

Last 10 Matches

Wolfsburg
47.4
W L D W L D D W L L

Performance Radar

M'gladbach
Wolfsburg

Categories Won

10

M'gladbach

2

Draw

3

Wolfsburg

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 4D, 2L

30%

3W, 3D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.0

20 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

1.4

14 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

0

0

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Castrop (2 goals)
D. Pejčinović (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 14
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
63.3

League Difficulty: 81.8, Opponent Quality: 63.7

58.5

League Difficulty: 86.4, Opponent Quality: 68.3

Elite Opponent Record
33%

1W / 3 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.42

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.42

1.64

Actual: 1.4 | Diff: -0.24

Adjusted Power Rating
62.7

Attack: 75.5, Defense: 71.8, Form: 45.3

47.4

Attack: 50.6, Defense: 57.9, Form: 32.5

Goal Timing Analysis

3

0-15'

2
3

16-30'

1

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

2
1

61-75'

1
4

76-90+'

2
M'gladbach
Wolfsburg
M'gladbach

Power Rating Breakdown

62.7

Overall

Attack 75.5
Defense 71.8
Form 45.3
Consistency 56.8
Wolfsburg

Power Rating Breakdown

47.4

Overall

Attack 50.6
Defense 57.9
Form 32.5
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

81.8 vs 86.4

Opponent Quality

63.7 vs 68.3

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 0%
M'gladbach logo M'gladbach
W
RW Essen (41%)
W
Wuppertal (43%)
W
Hoffenheim (64%)
L
Augsburg (67%)
W
Dortmund (71%)
D
Wolfsburg (67%)
D
Mainz (65%)
L
Leipzig (79%)
Wolfsburg logo Wolfsburg
W
Verl (48%)
L
Paderborn (84%)
D
Paderborn (82%)
W
St. Pauli (52%)
L
Bayern Munich (77%)
D
Freiburg (66%)
D
M'gladbach (72%)
W
Union Berlin (62%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
RW Essen A
2 - 1 W
41%
Wuppertal A
6 - 0 W
43%
Hoffenheim H
4 - 0 W
64%
Augsburg A
1 - 3 L
67%
Dortmund H
1 - 0 W
71%
Wolfsburg A
0 - 0 D
67%
Mainz H
1 - 1 D
65%
Leipzig A
0 - 1 L
79%
Heidenheim H
2 - 2 D
71%
Köln A
3 - 3 D
69%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Verl H
3 - 0 W
48%
Paderborn A
1 - 2 L
84%
Paderborn H
0 - 0 D
82%
St. Pauli A
3 - 1 W
52%
Bayern Munich H
0 - 1 L
77%
Freiburg A
1 - 1 D
66%
M'gladbach H
0 - 0 D
72%
Union Berlin A
2 - 1 W
62%
Frankfurt H
1 - 2 L
65%
Bayer 04 A
3 - 6 L
75%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 63.3 vs 58.5), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, M'gladbach outperforms Wolfsburg with 2.0 goals per match to 1.4, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, M'gladbach and Wolfsburg are evenly matched, allowing 1.1 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

M'gladbach has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Wolfsburg has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.0 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: M'gladbach has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 15.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for M'gladbach. In practical terms, M'gladbach would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

M'gladbach emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (62.7 vs 47.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

These two teams drew 0-0 in the German Bundesliga (2026-04-25). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

M'gladbach

M'gladbach

VS
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

M'gladbach

4W 4D 2L · 20 goals scored · 11 conceded

Wolfsburg

3W 3D 4L · 14 goals scored · 14 conceded

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