Botafogo vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Botafogo vs Palmeiras: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Botafogo
Home Team
Palmeiras
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Botafogo
Draw
Palmeiras
Statistical Comparison
3W, 5D, 2L
5W, 4D, 1L
17 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
+4
+10
1 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
9 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
2W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
3W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 68.0, Opponent Quality: 52.6
League Difficulty: 58.8, Opponent Quality: 53.1
0W / 0 matches
1W / 1 matches
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.09
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.16
Attack: 61.7, Defense: 61.7, Form: 32.6
Attack: 66.4, Defense: 89.8, Form: 58.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 58.8 vs 67.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Botafogo averaging 1.7 and Palmeiras averaging 1.7 goals per match.
Palmeiras has the defensive edge, conceding 0.7 per match compared to Botafogo's 1.3.
Botafogo has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Palmeiras is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Statistical modeling projects 2.7 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Palmeiras has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 16.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Palmeiras. In practical terms, Palmeiras would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Palmeiras emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (69.1 vs 53.1) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Botafogo
Palmeiras
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Botafogo
3W 5D 2L · 17 goals scored · 13 conceded
Palmeiras
5W 4D 1L · 17 goals scored · 7 conceded
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