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Compare Brazil vs Japan

Brazil vs Japan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Brazil vs Japan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Brazil Brazil Home Team
Japan Japan Away Team
Brazil
72.8
L W W W W L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Japan
79.3
L W L W L W W W W W

Performance Radar

Brazil
Japan

Categories Won

2

Brazil

2

Draw

11

Japan

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 0D, 4L

70%

7W, 0D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.6

26 / 10 matches

3.4

34 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

0.7

7 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+14

+14

+27

+27

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
70%

7 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

20%

2 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
Tainá Maranhão (4 goals)
R. Ueki (7 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 11 / 2nd Half: 15
1st Half: 15 / 2nd Half: 19
Home Win Rate
67%

4W / 6 matches

80%

4W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

60%

3W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
64.4

League Difficulty: 80.0, Opponent Quality: 68.9

56.5

League Difficulty: 62.5, Opponent Quality: 61.5

Elite Opponent Record
33%

2W / 6 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.93

Actual: 2.6 | Diff: -0.33

3.0

Actual: 3.4 | Diff: +0.4

Adjusted Power Rating
72.8

Attack: 99.1, Defense: 68.6, Form: 68.6

79.3

Attack: 100, Defense: 81.7, Form: 74.5

Goal Timing Analysis

5

0-15'

4
3

16-30'

7
3

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

8
2

61-75'

8
8

76-90+'

5
Brazil
Japan
Brazil

Power Rating Breakdown

72.8

Overall

Attack 99.1
Defense 68.6
Form 68.6
Consistency 35.2
Japan

Power Rating Breakdown

79.3

Overall

Attack 100
Defense 81.7
Form 74.5
Consistency 43.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

80.0 vs 62.5

Opponent Quality

68.9 vs 61.5

Elite Opponent Record

33% vs 40%
Brazil logo Brazil
L
United States (79%)
W
United States (79%)
W
Canada (62%)
W
Zambia (53%)
W
South Korea (57%)
L
Mexico (80%)
L
Venezuela (76%)
W
Costa Rica (60%)
Japan logo Japan
L
South Africa (76%)
W
South Africa (76%)
L
United States (84%)
W
United States (84%)
L
United States (84%)
W
Australia (61%)
W
South Korea (48%)
W
Philippines (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
United States H
0 - 1 L
79%
United States H
2 - 1 W
79%
Canada H
1 - 0 W
62%
Zambia H
6 - 1 W
53%
South Korea H
5 - 1 W
57%
Mexico A
0 - 1 L
80%
Venezuela H
1 - 2 L
76%
Costa Rica A
5 - 2 W
60%
Portugal A
5 - 0 W
71%
Norway A
1 - 3 L
72%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
South Africa H
0 - 1 L
76%
South Africa H
5 - 0 W
76%
United States A
0 - 3 L
84%
United States A
1 - 0 W
84%
United States A
1 - 2 L
84%
Australia H
1 - 0 W
61%
South Korea A
4 - 1 W
48%
Philippines H
7 - 0 W
38%
Vietnam H
4 - 0 W
33%
India A
11 - 0 W
31%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 64.4 vs 56.5), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Japan holds the attacking edge with 3.4 goals per match versus Brazil's 2.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Japan's backline outperforms Brazil's, with 0.7 goals conceded per match versus 1.2.

Brazil has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Japan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Japan has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Japan is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Brazil has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

🔥 Form Momentum: Japan is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 34 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Brazil has won 6 of their last 5, while Japan has won 7. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.5-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Japan. In practical terms, Japan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Japan has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.5-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Brazil

Brazil

VS
Japan

Japan

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Brazil

6W 0D 4L · 26 goals scored · 12 conceded

Japan

7W 0D 3L · 34 goals scored · 7 conceded

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