Brest vs Lille Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Brest vs Lille: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Brest
Home Team
Lille
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Brest
Draw
Lille
Statistical Comparison
0W, 4D, 6L
6W, 2D, 2L
11 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
-12
+10
0 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
0W / 6 matches
2W / 5 matches
0W / 4 matches
4W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.2
League Difficulty: 77.8, Opponent Quality: 64.8
0W / 5 matches
2W / 4 matches
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.19
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.03
Attack: 38.0, Defense: 24.2, Form: 0.0
Attack: 62.0, Defense: 93.0, Form: 69.8
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Brest
Lille
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Lille has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 66.3) compared to Brest (SoS: 53.6). This means Lille's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Offensively, Lille outperforms Brest with 1.6 goals per match to 1.1, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.
Lille holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.6 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Brest's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.
Brest has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Lille has proven their mettle against elite opponents, winning 2 of 4 matches against top-tier teams. This is a crucial indicator of their ability to perform under pressure.
Lille is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
❄️ Form Momentum: Brest is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📈 Form Momentum: Lille has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Lille is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Brest shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 39.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Lille. In practical terms, Lille would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Lille is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 70.6 vs 31.4, and superior metrics across the board, Lille should win this comfortably.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Brest
Lille
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Brest
0W 4D 6L · 11 goals scored · 23 conceded
Lille
6W 2D 2L · 16 goals scored · 6 conceded
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