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Compare Buckie Thistle vs Brechin

Buckie Thistle vs Brechin Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Buckie Thistle vs Brechin: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Buckie Thistle Buckie Thistle Home Team
Brechin Brechin Away Team
Buckie Thistle
51.1
W W W L W W L L W D

Last 10 Matches

Brechin
33.4
L L L L L L W W W D

Performance Radar

Buckie Thistle
Brechin

Categories Won

9

Buckie Thistle

2

Draw

4

Brechin

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 1D, 3L

30%

3W, 1D, 6L

Goals Scored / Match
1.7

17 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
0.8

8 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+9

+9

-8

-8

Clean Sheet
40%

4 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
40%

4 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
J. Peters (4 goals)
G. McGrath (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 9
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
33.6

League Difficulty: 25.0, Opponent Quality: 39.3

40.3

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.36

Actual: 1.7 | Diff: +0.34

0.93

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: +0.27

Adjusted Power Rating
51.1

Attack: 47.4, Defense: 61.3, Form: 50.2

33.4

Attack: 36.1, Defense: 30.1, Form: 27.1

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

4

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

2

61-75'

1
5

76-90+'

4
Buckie Thistle
Brechin
Buckie Thistle

Power Rating Breakdown

51.1

Overall

Attack 47.4
Defense 61.3
Form 50.2
Consistency 43.3
Brechin

Power Rating Breakdown

33.4

Overall

Attack 36.1
Defense 30.1
Form 27.1
Consistency 46.0

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

25.0 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

39.3 vs 45.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Buckie Thistle logo Buckie Thistle
W
Inverurie (33%)
W
Wick (28%)
W
Inverurie (33%)
L
Fraserburgh (51%)
W
Formartine Utd (53%)
W
Forres (38%)
L
Strathspey (34%)
L
Brora Rangers (30%)
Brechin logo Brechin
L
Forfar (49%)
L
Stenhousemuir (51%)
L
Livingston (48%)
L
Partick (60%)
L
Turriff Utd (45%)
L
Brora Rangers (34%)
W
Nairn (34%)
W
Forres (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Inverurie H
2 - 0 W
33%
Wick A
3 - 0 W
28%
Inverurie H
2 - 1 W
33%
Fraserburgh H
0 - 1 L
51%
Formartine Utd H
1 - 0 W
53%
Forres A
4 - 0 W
38%
Strathspey A
1 - 2 L
34%
Brora Rangers H
0 - 2 L
30%
Banks O' Dee A
3 - 1 W
49%
Huntly A
1 - 1 D
44%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forfar A
1 - 3 L
49%
Stenhousemuir H
1 - 2 L
51%
Livingston H
0 - 2 L
48%
Partick A
0 - 6 L
60%
Turriff Utd A
1 - 4 L
45%
Brora Rangers A
1 - 2 L
34%
Nairn H
3 - 0 W
34%
Forres A
1 - 0 W
38%
Nairn A
4 - 1 W
39%
Formartine Utd H
0 - 0 D
53%

AI Analysis

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 33.6 vs 40.3), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Offensively, Buckie Thistle outperforms Brechin with 1.7 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Buckie Thistle — 0.8 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Brechin, who give up 2.0 goals per match at the other end.

Buckie Thistle has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Brechin has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Buckie Thistle is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Buckie Thistle has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Buckie Thistle is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Brechin shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Buckie Thistle. In practical terms, Buckie Thistle would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers point firmly toward Buckie Thistle in this contest. Their superior power rating of 51.1, compared to 33.4 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Buckie Thistle

Buckie Thistle

VS
Brechin

Brechin

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Buckie Thistle

6W 1D 3L · 17 goals scored · 8 conceded

Brechin

3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 20 conceded

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