Burnley vs Everton Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Burnley vs Everton: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Burnley
Home Team
Everton
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Burnley
Draw
Everton
Statistical Comparison
0W, 2D, 8L
2W, 4D, 4L
8 / 10 matches
17 / 10 matches
23 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
-15
+2
0 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 4 matches
0W / 6 matches
1W / 6 matches
League Difficulty: 87.4, Opponent Quality: 70.2
League Difficulty: 87.4, Opponent Quality: 69.5
0W / 6 matches
0W / 6 matches
Actual: 0.8 | Diff: -0.25
Actual: 1.7 | Diff: -0.41
Attack: 29.2, Defense: 25.6, Form: 0.0
Attack: 61.9, Defense: 54.6, Form: 21.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Burnley
Everton
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 59.5 vs 59.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Everton leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Burnley's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Everton has the defensive edge, conceding 1.5 per match compared to Burnley's 2.3.
Burnley has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Everton has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 3.1 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
❄️ Form Momentum: Burnley is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
❄️ Form Momentum: Everton is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Everton faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Burnley can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 19.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Everton. In practical terms, Everton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Everton emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (48.4 vs 29.4) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Burnley
Everton
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Burnley
0W 2D 8L · 8 goals scored · 23 conceded
Everton
2W 4D 4L · 17 goals scored · 15 conceded
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