Burnley vs Fulham Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Raw output from both teams looks comparable at first glance, yet once we account for Strength of Schedule, a clear hierarchy emerges. The favorite has repeatedly risen to the challenge against higher-caliber opponents, underlining a genuine quality advantage.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 59.5 vs 65.3), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

The attacking output of Burnley and Fulham is virtually identical, with both sides posting averages of 0.8 and 0.7 goals per game respectively.

Fulham holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 1.0 goals per game and recording 4 clean sheets, compared to Burnley's leaky backline that surrenders 2.3 goals per match.

Burnley has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Fulham has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Burnley is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fulham is on the rise with 3W in last 10, while Burnley shows signs of decline with 0W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 16.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fulham. In practical terms, Fulham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Fulham holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 45.6 against 29.4 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In the Premier League (2026-03-21), Fulham beat Burnley 3-1. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Fulham secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Burnley will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Fulham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.