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Compare Burton vs Wycombe

Burton vs Wycombe Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Burton vs Wycombe: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Burton Burton Home Team
Wycombe Wycombe Away Team
Burton
40.2
L D D D W D D L W L

Last 10 Matches

Wycombe
46.3
W W L W L L D L L W

Performance Radar

Burton
Wycombe

Categories Won

2

Burton

5

Draw

8

Wycombe

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
20%

2W, 5D, 3L

40%

4W, 1D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
0.9

9 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.0

10 / 10 matches

1.9

19 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-1

-1

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
30%

3 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
C. Webster (2 goals)
N. Lowe (2 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 5
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 15
Home Win Rate
33%

2W / 6 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 4 matches

0%

0W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
45.1

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 45.1

48.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 50.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
0.81

Actual: 0.9 | Diff: +0.09

1.96

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.04

Adjusted Power Rating
40.2

Attack: 28.5, Defense: 63.4, Form: 19.0

46.3

Attack: 65.3, Defense: 35.9, Form: 39.2

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

2
1

16-30'

2
3

31-45'

1
4

46-60'

1
1

61-75'

2

76-90+'

6
Burton
Wycombe
Burton

Power Rating Breakdown

40.2

Overall

Attack 28.5
Defense 63.4
Form 19.0
Consistency 67.3
Wycombe

Power Rating Breakdown

46.3

Overall

Attack 65.3
Defense 35.9
Form 39.2
Consistency 39.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

45.1 vs 50.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Burton logo Burton
L
Birmingham (51%)
D
L Orient (40%)
D
Exeter (42%)
D
Peterborough (42%)
W
Wimbledon (36%)
D
Mansfield (57%)
D
Barnsley (43%)
L
Blackpool (57%)
Wycombe logo Wycombe
W
Portsmouth (49%)
W
Yeovil (35%)
L
QPR (50%)
W
Rotherham (37%)
L
Lincoln (66%)
L
Blackpool (52%)
D
Huddersfield (54%)
L
Bradford (45%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Birmingham H
0 - 1 L
51%
L Orient A
2 - 2 D
40%
Exeter H
1 - 1 D
42%
Peterborough A
1 - 1 D
42%
Wimbledon H
1 - 0 W
36%
Mansfield A
0 - 0 D
57%
Barnsley H
1 - 1 D
43%
Blackpool A
0 - 1 L
57%
Bradford H
2 - 1 W
45%
Reading H
1 - 2 L
38%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Portsmouth H
3 - 1 W
49%
Yeovil H
3 - 2 W
35%
QPR A
0 - 1 L
50%
Rotherham H
3 - 2 W
37%
Lincoln A
3 - 4 L
66%
Blackpool H
0 - 1 L
52%
Huddersfield A
3 - 3 D
54%
Bradford H
1 - 2 L
45%
Stockport A
0 - 3 L
59%
Port Vale H
4 - 0 W
53%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 45.1 vs 48.0), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Wycombe's attack is on another level, averaging 2.0 goals per match with N. Lowe leading the charge (2 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Defensively, Burton is far superior, conceding just 1.0 goals per match with 2 clean sheets, while Wycombe leaks 1.9 goals per match.

Burton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Wycombe has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 2.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Burton is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Wycombe faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.9 goals per match. If Burton can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 65% win probability for Wycombe. In practical terms, Wycombe would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Wycombe holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 6.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Burton

Burton

VS
Wycombe

Wycombe

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Burton

2W 5D 3L · 9 goals scored · 10 conceded

Wycombe

4W 1D 5L · 20 goals scored · 19 conceded

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