Buxton vs Leamington Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 37.0 vs 39.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Buxton leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.4 goals per game compared to Leamington's 1.6 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Buxton — 1.1 goals conceded per game and 4 clean sheets put them well ahead of Leamington, who give up 2.5 goals per match at the other end.

Buxton has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Leamington has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Buxton has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Buxton is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.8 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Buxton is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

❄️ Form Momentum: Leamington is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Buxton is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Leamington shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

💡 Why This Matters: The 28.8-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Buxton. In practical terms, Buxton would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Buxton holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 60.9 against 32.1 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-25), Buxton prevailed 4-1 against Leamington. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Buxton secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 4-1 scoreline was emphatic — Buxton completely dominated Leamington in that encounter, raising serious questions about Leamington's ability to compete at this level. Leamington will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Buxton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent National League N / S match (2026-03-17), Buxton prevailed 0-1 against Leamington. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Buxton achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Leamington shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Leamington will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Buxton will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.