Caernarfon vs Levadia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Levadia has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 65.0) compared to Caernarfon (SoS: 39.4). This means Levadia's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.

Few sides can match Levadia in front of goal. Their 4.0 average per fixture tells the story, with Wendell Gabriel driving that output personally responsible for 3 goals this campaign.

Levadia holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.3 goals per game and recording 2 clean sheets, compared to Caernarfon's leaky backline that surrenders 2.1 goals per match.

Levadia has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Levadia has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Levadia is a strong road performer with a 100% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Caernarfon has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 61.6-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Levadia. In practical terms, Levadia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Our opponent-adjusted metrics point overwhelmingly in one direction: Levadia holds a commanding advantage here. The power rating gap — 100.0 against 38.4 — reinforces what the underlying numbers already suggest, making Levadia a strong and justified favorite to win decisively.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-16), Levadia came out on top with a 5-0 victory over Caernarfon. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Levadia secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 5-0 scoreline was emphatic — Levadia completely dominated Caernarfon in that encounter, raising serious questions about Caernarfon's ability to compete at this level. Caernarfon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Levadia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent UEFA Conference League encounter (2026-07-09), Levadia came out on top with a 0-5 victory over Caernarfon. European competition results carry significant weight in assessing the balance of power between these sides. Notably, Levadia achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Caernarfon shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-5 scoreline was emphatic — Levadia completely dominated Caernarfon in that encounter, raising serious questions about Caernarfon's ability to compete at this level. Caernarfon will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Levadia will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.