Cagliari vs AC Milan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Cagliari vs AC Milan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Cagliari
Home Team
AC Milan
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Cagliari
Draw
AC Milan
Statistical Comparison
4W, 2D, 4L
3W, 2D, 5L
9 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
-3
-5
3 / 10 matches
2 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
3W / 6 matches
1W / 5 matches
1W / 4 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 66.8
League Difficulty: 85.5, Opponent Quality: 68.6
0W / 3 matches
0W / 3 matches
Actual: 0.9 | Diff: -0.27
Actual: 1.1 | Diff: -0.17
Attack: 32.3, Defense: 64.6, Form: 43.0
Attack: 39.7, Defense: 50.5, Form: 32.5
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Cagliari
AC Milan
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.
The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 57.6 vs 58.2), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.
Cagliari (0.9 goals per match) and AC Milan (1.1 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Defensively, Cagliari holds the advantage — allowing just 1.2 goals per game against AC Milan's 1.6.
Cagliari has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
AC Milan has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 0 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Statistical modeling projects 2.4 goals in this fixture. The data points Under 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at possible based on both sides' scoring records.
💡 Why This Matters: AC Milan's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.
In the Italian Serie A (2026-05-24), Cagliari beat AC Milan 1-2. League results are the most consistent indicator of form, and this result speaks volumes about the current dynamic between these teams. Notably, Cagliari achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against AC Milan shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. AC Milan will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cagliari will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Cagliari
AC Milan
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Cagliari
4W 2D 4L · 9 goals scored · 12 conceded
AC Milan
3W 2D 5L · 11 goals scored · 16 conceded
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