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Compare Cardiff City vs Swansea

Cardiff City vs Swansea Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Cardiff City vs Swansea: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Cardiff City Cardiff City Home Team
Swansea Swansea Away Team
Cardiff City
62.3
D L W W L W W W W W

Last 10 Matches

Swansea
63.3
W L L L L W W W W

Performance Radar

Cardiff City
Swansea

Categories Won

10

Cardiff City

2

Draw

3

Swansea

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
70%

7W, 1D, 2L

56%

5W, 0D, 4L

Goals Scored / Match
2.8

28 / 10 matches

2.6

23 / 9 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.3

13 / 10 matches

1.9

17 / 9 matches

Goal Difference
+15

+15

+6

+6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

11%

1 / 9 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
90%

9 / 10 matches

89%

8 / 9 matches

Both Teams to Score
80%

8 / 10 matches

78%

7 / 9 matches

Top Scorer
N/A (0 goals)
N/A (0 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 28
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 23
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

75%

3W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
36.0

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4

62.1

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 54.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 1 matches

100%

1W / 1 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.46

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: +0.34

2.27

Actual: 2.6 | Diff: +0.29

Adjusted Power Rating
62.3

Attack: 80.3, Defense: 48.7, Form: 60.2

63.3

Attack: 97.2, Defense: 41.1, Form: 62.8

Goal Timing Analysis

0-15'

16-30'

31-45'

46-60'

61-75'

76-90+'

Cardiff City
Swansea
Cardiff City

Power Rating Breakdown

62.3

Overall

Attack 80.3
Defense 48.7
Form 60.2
Consistency 53.2
Swansea

Power Rating Breakdown

63.3

Overall

Attack 97.2
Defense 41.1
Form 62.8
Consistency 33.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

51.4 vs 54.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 100%
Cardiff City logo Cardiff City
D
TNS (41%)
L
Wrexham (71%)
W
Swansea (50%)
W
Swansea (55%)
L
Wrexham (66%)
W
TNS (45%)
W
Aberystwyth (47%)
W
Pontypridd (21%)
Swansea logo Swansea
W
Wrexham (71%)
L
TNS (41%)
L
Wrexham (66%)
L
Cardiff City (67%)
L
Cardiff City (62%)
W
TNS (45%)
W
Briton Ferry (52%)
W
Barry Town (46%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
TNS H
1 - 1 D
41%
Wrexham A
1 - 4 L
71%
Swansea H
2 - 1 W
50%
Swansea A
2 - 1 W
55%
Wrexham H
1 - 3 L
66%
TNS A
5 - 1 W
45%
Aberystwyth A
4 - 0 W
47%
Pontypridd H
6 - 0 W
21%
Briton Ferry A
4 - 1 W
52%
Wrexham H
2 - 1 W
66%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wrexham A
2 - 1 W
71%
TNS H
0 - 1 L
41%
Wrexham H
1 - 7 L
66%
Cardiff City A
1 - 2 L
67%
Cardiff City H
1 - 2 L
62%
TNS A
5 - 2 W
45%
Briton Ferry A
3 - 1 W
52%
Barry Town H
7 - 1 W
46%
TNS H
3 - 0 W
41%

AI Analysis

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

Context matters here: Swansea's schedule strength (SoS: 62.1) has been notably more demanding than Cardiff City's (SoS: 36.0), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Cardiff City averaging 2.8 and Swansea averaging 2.6 goals per match.

Cardiff City's backline outperforms Swansea's, with 1.3 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.

Cardiff City is a strong road performer with a 80% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 4.3 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

🔥 Form Momentum: Cardiff City is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 28 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Swansea has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.67 points per game over their last 9 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: In matches this evenly balanced, the deciding factor often comes down to set pieces and individual errors. Both teams should be wary of complacency in a match where neither side has a clear edge.

💡 Why This Matters: Swansea's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

This is a genuine coin-flip. Both teams are remarkably evenly matched across all metrics, and the outcome will likely be decided by small margins on the day.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-22), Cardiff City prevailed 2-1 against Swansea. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cardiff City secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 2-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Swansea will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cardiff City will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost. In their recent Welsh Premier Women's League match (2026-03-15), Cardiff City prevailed 1-2 against Swansea. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Cardiff City achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Swansea shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Swansea will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cardiff City will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Cardiff City

Cardiff City

VS
Swansea

Swansea

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Cardiff City

7W 1D 2L · 28 goals scored · 13 conceded

Swansea

5W 0D 4L · 23 goals scored · 17 conceded

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