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Compare Cardiff vs Doncaster

Cardiff vs Doncaster Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Cardiff vs Doncaster: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Cardiff Cardiff Home Team
Doncaster Doncaster Away Team
Cardiff
69.0
W W L W W W D W D D

Last 10 Matches

Doncaster
62.8
D D W W W W D L W W

Performance Radar

Cardiff
Doncaster

Categories Won

7

Cardiff

5

Draw

3

Doncaster

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
60%

6W, 3D, 1L

60%

6W, 3D, 1L

Goals Scored / Match
2.8

28 / 10 matches

2.1

21 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.1

11 / 10 matches

0.9

9 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+17

+17

+12

+12

Clean Sheet
30%

3 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
O. Kellyman (4 goals)
B. Sharp (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 24
1st Half: 0 / 2nd Half: 21
Home Win Rate
80%

4W / 5 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
40%

2W / 5 matches

67%

4W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
46.7

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 47.8

44.8

League Difficulty: 45.0, Opponent Quality: 44.6

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
2.94

Actual: 2.8 | Diff: -0.14

1.98

Actual: 2.1 | Diff: +0.12

Adjusted Power Rating
69.0

Attack: 90.3, Defense: 61.2, Form: 58.0

62.8

Attack: 66.4, Defense: 66.4, Form: 56.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

1

16-30'

2

31-45'

5

46-60'

4
2

61-75'

2
6

76-90+'

2
Cardiff
Doncaster
Cardiff

Power Rating Breakdown

69.0

Overall

Attack 90.3
Defense 61.2
Form 58.0
Consistency 61.3
Doncaster

Power Rating Breakdown

62.8

Overall

Attack 66.4
Defense 66.4
Form 56.9
Consistency 61.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

45.0 vs 45.0

Opponent Quality

47.8 vs 44.6

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Cardiff logo Cardiff
W
Forest Green (53%)
W
Cork (41%)
L
Mansfield (57%)
W
Northampton (27%)
W
Port Vale (53%)
W
Reading (43%)
D
Huddersfield (54%)
W
Bolton (56%)
Doncaster logo Doncaster
D
Gainsborough (44%)
D
Harrogate (53%)
W
Linfield (45%)
W
Glenavon (42%)
W
St Pat's (49%)
W
Peterborough (42%)
D
Stevenage (40%)
L
Lincoln (61%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Forest Green H
5 - 1 W
53%
Cork A
6 - 1 W
41%
Mansfield A
4 - 5 L
57%
Northampton H
5 - 1 W
27%
Port Vale H
1 - 0 W
53%
Reading A
3 - 1 W
43%
Huddersfield A
1 - 1 D
54%
Bolton H
2 - 0 W
56%
Peterborough A
1 - 1 D
42%
Blackpool H
0 - 0 D
52%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gainsborough A
0 - 0 D
44%
Harrogate A
2 - 2 D
53%
Linfield A
2 - 0 W
45%
Glenavon A
5 - 0 W
42%
St Pat's H
4 - 2 W
49%
Peterborough A
3 - 1 W
42%
Stevenage H
1 - 1 D
40%
Lincoln H
0 - 2 L
61%
Northampton A
3 - 1 W
32%
Reading H
1 - 0 W
38%

AI Analysis

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 46.7 vs 44.8), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Cardiff leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.8 goals per game compared to Doncaster's 2.1 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Cardiff giving up 1.1 and Doncaster giving up 0.9 per fixture.

Cardiff has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Doncaster has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cardiff has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Doncaster is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

📈 Form Momentum: Cardiff has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: Doncaster has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Cardiff has won 6 of their last 5, while Doncaster has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

💡 Why This Matters: The 6.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 66% win probability for Cardiff. In practical terms, Cardiff would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

Cardiff has the edge based on adjusted metrics, but this is far from a foregone conclusion. The 6.2-point power gap suggests an advantage without guaranteeing victory.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Cardiff

Cardiff

VS
Doncaster

Doncaster

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Cardiff

6W 3D 1L · 28 goals scored · 11 conceded

Doncaster

6W 3D 1L · 21 goals scored · 9 conceded

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