Carrick vs Coleraine Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (44.8 vs 39.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Carrick holds the attacking edge with 2.4 goals per match versus Coleraine's 1.9, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Defensively, Carrick and Coleraine are evenly matched, allowing 1.5 and 1.4 goals per game respectively.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.6 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Coleraine has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Carrick has won 7 of their last 5, while Coleraine has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Coleraine can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 8.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 70% win probability for Carrick. In practical terms, Carrick would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Carrick holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-08-22), Coleraine prevailed 0-2 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Coleraine achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Carrick shows genuine quality and mental strength. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Coleraine will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.