Carrick vs Dungannon Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

This is a fascinating matchup between two evenly-matched teams. The raw numbers tell one story, but when we adjust for opponent quality, the picture becomes even more intriguing. Both teams have earned their statistics against comparable opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 44.8 vs 45.1), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Offensively, Carrick outperforms Dungannon with 2.4 goals per match to 1.8, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Defensively, Dungannon holds the advantage — allowing just 1.0 goals per game against Carrick's 1.5.

Carrick has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dungannon has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Carrick is a strong road performer with a 83% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.4 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking possible given current form.

🔥 Form Momentum: Carrick is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 24 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📈 Form Momentum: Dungannon has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.0 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: Both teams are on upward trajectories. Carrick has won 7 of their last 5, while Dungannon has won 6. This clash of momentum makes the outcome particularly unpredictable.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Carrick faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Dungannon can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Dungannon's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent Irish Premiership match (2026-05-06), Dungannon prevailed 3-1 against Carrick. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Dungannon secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Carrick will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Dungannon will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.