Celje vs Egnatia Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Celje vs Egnatia: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Celje
Home Team
Egnatia
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Celje
Draw
Egnatia
Statistical Comparison
3W, 2D, 2L
1W, 2D, 0L
11 / 7 matches
10 / 3 matches
14 / 7 matches
5 / 3 matches
-3
+5
2 / 7 matches
0 / 3 matches
5 / 7 matches
2 / 3 matches
3 / 7 matches
3 / 3 matches
1W / 3 matches
1W / 2 matches
2W / 4 matches
0W / 1 matches
League Difficulty: 80.7, Opponent Quality: 69.4
League Difficulty: 97.0, Opponent Quality: 80.0
1W / 4 matches
1W / 3 matches
Actual: 1.6 | Diff: -0.61
Actual: 3.3 | Diff: -1.67
Attack: 60.2, Defense: 37.6, Form: 48.5
Attack: 100, Defense: 54.2, Form: 41.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Celje
Egnatia
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Egnatia has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 75.1 against considerably stronger competition than Celje (SoS: 62.8). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.
Egnatia's attack is on another level, averaging 3.3 goals per match with E. Bitri leading the charge (2 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.
Egnatia has the defensive edge, conceding 1.7 per match compared to Celje's 2.0.
Celje has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 4 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Egnatia has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 4.3 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
❄️ Form Momentum: Egnatia is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Egnatia faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.7 goals per match. If Celje can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 17.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Egnatia. In practical terms, Egnatia would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Egnatia emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (66.9 vs 49.5) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
These two teams drew 3-3 in the UEFA Champions League (2026-07-22). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Celje
Egnatia
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Celje
3W 2D 2L · 11 goals scored · 14 conceded
Egnatia
1W 2D 0L · 10 goals scored · 5 conceded
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