Celtic vs Motherwell Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

Motherwell has earned their numbers the hard way, posting a SoS of 57.2 against considerably stronger competition than Celtic (SoS: 42.4). Their figures deserve greater analytical credence as a result — forged against genuinely difficult opponents.

Celtic possess a formidable attacking unit, with D. Maeda accounting for 9 goals and the squad maintaining an impressive 2.7 goals per game — a threat no opponent can afford to overlook.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Celtic giving up 1.6 and Motherwell giving up 1.7 per fixture.

Motherwell has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 3 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Celtic is a strong road performer with a 67% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.8 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

🔥 Form Momentum: Celtic is in scorching form, winning 7 of their last 10 matches with 27 goals scored. This level of consistency is difficult to sustain but devastating while it lasts.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Celtic is on the rise with 7W in last 10, while Motherwell shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Celtic faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.6 goals per match. If Motherwell can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 20.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Celtic. In practical terms, Celtic would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Celtic holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 64.7 against 44.7 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent Scottish Premiership match (2026-05-13), Celtic prevailed 2-3 against Motherwell. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Celtic achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Motherwell shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 2-3 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Motherwell will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Celtic will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.