Cesena vs Vis Pesaro Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 45.0 vs 50.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Few sides can match Cesena in front of goal. Their 2.0 average per fixture tells the story, with N/A driving that output personally responsible for 0 goals this campaign.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Cesena — 0.5 goals conceded per game and 5 clean sheets put them well ahead of Vis Pesaro, who give up 4.3 goals per match at the other end.

Cesena has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Vis Pesaro has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Cesena has an exceptional home record with a 100% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.5 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being unlikely.

📈 Form Momentum: Cesena has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.17 points per game over their last 6 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

❄️ Form Momentum: Vis Pesaro is struggling for form, winning just 0 of their last 3 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Cesena is on the rise with 4W in last 6, while Vis Pesaro shows signs of decline with 0W in last 3.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cesena faces a key vulnerability: their away form is significantly weaker than their home record. If Vis Pesaro can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 48.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Cesena. In practical terms, Cesena would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on our comprehensive analysis including opponent quality adjustment, Cesena is the clear and dominant favorite. With a power rating of 66.3 vs 18.0, and superior metrics across the board, Cesena should win this comfortably.

In their recent Club Friendlies match (2026-08-05), Cesena prevailed 3-0 against Vis Pesaro. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Cesena secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The 3-0 scoreline was emphatic — Cesena completely dominated Vis Pesaro in that encounter, raising serious questions about Vis Pesaro's ability to compete at this level. Vis Pesaro will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Cesena will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.