Charlotte vs NYCFC Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Context matters here: Charlotte's schedule strength (SoS: 51.6) has been notably more demanding than NYCFC's (SoS: 40.9), meaning their underlying stats reflect performance against higher-calibre opposition and should be weighted accordingly.

Charlotte holds the attacking edge with 2.0 goals per match versus NYCFC's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Charlotte giving up 1.3 and NYCFC giving up 1.2 per fixture.

Charlotte has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.1 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Charlotte has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📈 Form Momentum: NYCFC has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.5 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 11.2-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 78% win probability for Charlotte. In practical terms, Charlotte would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

The numbers lean toward Charlotte, with a 11.2-point power rating gap pointing to a genuine advantage — though not one that makes this contest a formality.

In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-05-14), NYCFC prevailed 0-1 against Charlotte. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, NYCFC achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Charlotte shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 0-1 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Charlotte will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. NYCFC will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.