Chelsea vs Arsenal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Chelsea vs Arsenal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Chelsea
Home Team
Arsenal
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Chelsea
Draw
Arsenal
Statistical Comparison
3W, 1D, 6L
6W, 3D, 1L
13 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
15 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
-2
+7
2 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
3W / 7 matches
4W / 5 matches
0W / 3 matches
2W / 5 matches
League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 69.5
League Difficulty: 97.6, Opponent Quality: 71.0
1W / 7 matches
2W / 6 matches
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.08
Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.45
Attack: 48.0, Defense: 55.4, Form: 33.2
Attack: 48.8, Defense: 100, Form: 73.3
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Chelsea
Arsenal
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.
Arsenal has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 72.1) compared to Chelsea (SoS: 60.7). This means Arsenal's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Chelsea (1.3 goals per match) and Arsenal (1.2 goals per match) present comparable offensive threats, making this an evenly contested attacking matchup.
Arsenal holds a clear defensive edge, limiting opponents to just 0.5 goals per game and recording 6 clean sheets, compared to Chelsea's leaky backline that surrenders 1.5 goals per match.
Chelsea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Arsenal has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 6 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.
Arsenal has an exceptional home record with a 80% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.
Based on the combined statistics, expect 2.2 total goals. Under 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being possible.
📈 Form Momentum: Arsenal has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 2.1 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Arsenal is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Chelsea shows signs of decline with 3W in last 10.
💡 Why This Matters: The 25.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Arsenal. In practical terms, Arsenal would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
The numbers point firmly toward Arsenal in this contest. Their superior power rating of 70.8, compared to 45.1 for the opposition, reflects a meaningful edge across the metrics that matter most when projecting an outcome.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Chelsea
Arsenal
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Chelsea
3W 1D 6L · 13 goals scored · 15 conceded
Arsenal
6W 3D 1L · 12 goals scored · 5 conceded
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