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Compare Chelsea vs Paris SG

Chelsea vs Paris SG Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Chelsea vs Paris SG: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Chelsea Chelsea Home Team
Paris SG Paris SG Away Team
Chelsea
40.0
W L W L D L W L L L

Last 10 Matches

Paris SG
67.9
D L W W D D W W W L

Performance Radar

Chelsea
Paris SG

Categories Won

0

Chelsea

2

Draw

13

Paris SG

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
30%

3W, 1D, 6L

50%

5W, 3D, 2L

Goals Scored / Match
1.2

12 / 10 matches

2.0

20 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.9

19 / 10 matches

1.2

12 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
-7

-7

+8

+8

Clean Sheet
10%

1 / 10 matches

40%

4 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
50%

5 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
João Pedro (4 goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia (6 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 7
1st Half: 10 / 2nd Half: 10
Home Win Rate
43%

3W / 7 matches

50%

3W / 6 matches

Away Win Rate
0%

0W / 3 matches

50%

2W / 4 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
59.8

League Difficulty: 82.1, Opponent Quality: 67.0

69.8

League Difficulty: 89.3, Opponent Quality: 68.8

Elite Opponent Record
14%

1W / 7 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.33

Actual: 1.2 | Diff: -0.13

2.36

Actual: 2.0 | Diff: -0.36

Adjusted Power Rating
40.0

Attack: 43.9, Defense: 40.3, Form: 32.9

67.9

Attack: 79.9, Defense: 71.9, Form: 59.9

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

4
2

16-30'

2
2

31-45'

3
1

46-60'

6
2

61-75'

2
4

76-90+'

3
Chelsea
Paris SG
Chelsea

Power Rating Breakdown

40.0

Overall

Attack 43.9
Defense 40.3
Form 32.9
Consistency 46.0
Paris SG

Power Rating Breakdown

67.9

Overall

Attack 79.9
Defense 71.9
Form 59.9
Consistency 53.2

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

82.1 vs 89.3

Opponent Quality

67.0 vs 68.8

Elite Opponent Record

14% vs 40%
Chelsea logo Chelsea
W
Wanderers (28%)
L
Sunderland (76%)
W
Spurs (71%)
L
Man City (62%)
D
Liverpool (72%)
L
Forest (76%)
W
Leeds (48%)
L
Brighton (75%)
Paris SG logo Paris SG
D
Arsenal (79%)
L
Paris FC (79%)
W
Lens (82%)
W
Brest (46%)
D
Bayern Munich (84%)
D
Lorient (63%)
W
Bayern Munich (79%)
W
Angers (60%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wanderers H
6 - 4 W
28%
Sunderland A
1 - 2 L
76%
Spurs H
2 - 1 W
71%
Man City H
0 - 1 L
62%
Liverpool A
1 - 1 D
72%
Forest H
1 - 3 L
76%
Leeds H
1 - 0 W
48%
Brighton A
0 - 3 L
75%
Man Utd H
0 - 1 L
79%
Man City H
0 - 3 L
83%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Arsenal H
1 - 1 D
79%
Paris FC A
1 - 2 L
79%
Lens A
2 - 0 W
82%
Brest H
1 - 0 W
46%
Bayern Munich A
1 - 1 D
84%
Lorient H
2 - 2 D
63%
Bayern Munich H
5 - 4 W
79%
Angers A
3 - 0 W
60%
Nantes H
3 - 0 W
53%
Lyon H
1 - 2 L
63%

AI Analysis

Surface-level numbers suggest a competitive matchup, but the Strength of Schedule correction tells a different story. The favorite has earned their metrics against stiffer competition, exposing a meaningful performance gap between these two sides.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (59.8 vs 69.8), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Offensively, Paris SG outperforms Chelsea with 2.0 goals per match to 1.2, though the margin leaves the contest genuinely open.

Paris SG's backline outperforms Chelsea's, with 1.2 goals conceded per match versus 1.9.

Chelsea has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 1 of 7 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Paris SG has struggled against elite opposition, winning only 2 of 5 matches. When the stakes are highest, their performance drops significantly.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Paris SG has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

💡 Why This Matters: The 27.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Paris SG. In practical terms, Paris SG would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Paris SG emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (67.9 vs 40.0) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Chelsea

Chelsea

VS
Paris SG

Paris SG

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Chelsea

3W 1D 6L · 12 goals scored · 19 conceded

Paris SG

5W 3D 2L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded

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