Rongcheng vs Guoan Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Rongcheng vs Guoan: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Rongcheng
Home Team
Guoan
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Rongcheng
Draw
Guoan
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
5W, 4D, 1L
14 / 10 matches
20 / 10 matches
11 / 10 matches
12 / 10 matches
+3
+8
2 / 10 matches
3 / 10 matches
4 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
7 / 10 matches
2W / 5 matches
4W / 7 matches
2W / 5 matches
1W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 48.9
League Difficulty: 48.0, Opponent Quality: 47.5
0W / 0 matches
0W / 0 matches
Actual: 1.4 | Diff: +0.05
Actual: 2.0 | Diff: +0.27
Attack: 46.0, Defense: 62.4, Form: 39.4
Attack: 65.1, Defense: 58.6, Form: 48.9
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Rongcheng
Guoan
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.
Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 48.5 vs 47.7), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.
Guoan leads the attacking statistics, averaging 2.0 goals per game compared to Rongcheng's 1.4 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.
Both defenses are comparable, with Rongcheng conceding 1.1 and Guoan conceding 1.2 per match.
Rongcheng has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Guoan has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 2.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.
📈 Form Momentum: Rongcheng has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
📈 Form Momentum: Guoan has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
💡 Why This Matters: The 8.3-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 71% win probability for Guoan. In practical terms, Guoan would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.
While Guoan holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 8.3-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.
These two teams drew 2-2 in the Chinese Super League (2026-07-26). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Rongcheng
Guoan
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Rongcheng
4W 4D 2L · 14 goals scored · 11 conceded
Guoan
5W 4D 1L · 20 goals scored · 12 conceded
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