Chesham vs Bath Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 35.8 vs 40.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Chesham holds the attacking edge with 2.2 goals per match versus Bath's 1.6, though the gap isn't insurmountable.

Chesham's backline outperforms Bath's, with 1.8 goals conceded per match versus 2.2.

Chesham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bath has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.9 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Chesham has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chesham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Bath can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 10.0-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Chesham. In practical terms, Chesham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Chesham holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 10.0-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-11), Bath prevailed 4-2 against Chesham. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bath secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Chesham will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bath will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.