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Compare Chesham vs Hemel H

Chesham vs Hemel H Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Chesham vs Hemel H: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Chesham Chesham Home Team
Hemel H Hemel H Away Team
Chesham
46.1
D L L W W W W L W L

Last 10 Matches

Hemel H
40.4
L D D W W D L D L W

Performance Radar

Chesham
Hemel H

Categories Won

10

Chesham

2

Draw

3

Hemel H

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
50%

5W, 1D, 4L

30%

3W, 4D, 3L

Goals Scored / Match
2.2

22 / 10 matches

1.1

11 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.8

18 / 10 matches

1.0

10 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+4

+4

+1

+1

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

30%

3 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
80%

8 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
70%

7 / 10 matches

50%

5 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
K. Yearn (7 goals)
R. Campbell (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 9 / 2nd Half: 13
1st Half: 5 / 2nd Half: 6
Home Win Rate
50%

3W / 6 matches

25%

1W / 4 matches

Away Win Rate
50%

2W / 4 matches

33%

2W / 6 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.8

League Difficulty: 30.0, Opponent Quality: 39.7

36.6

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 40.0

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.61

Actual: 2.2 | Diff: +0.59

0.85

Actual: 1.1 | Diff: +0.25

Adjusted Power Rating
46.1

Attack: 62.9, Defense: 34.3, Form: 42.9

40.4

Attack: 31.8, Defense: 57.7, Form: 26.0

Goal Timing Analysis

2

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

4

31-45'

2
10

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
1

76-90+'

3
Chesham
Hemel H
Chesham

Power Rating Breakdown

46.1

Overall

Attack 62.9
Defense 34.3
Form 42.9
Consistency 38.8
Hemel H

Power Rating Breakdown

40.4

Overall

Attack 31.8
Defense 57.7
Form 26.0
Consistency 57.7

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

30.0 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

39.7 vs 40.0

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Chesham logo Chesham
D
Dover (25%)
L
Chelmsford (40%)
L
Bath (38%)
W
Slough (21%)
W
Hemel H (45%)
W
Enfield T (38%)
W
Tonbridge (42%)
L
Hornchurch (53%)
Hemel H logo Hemel H
L
Wealdstone (48%)
D
Weston-s-Mare (36%)
D
Salisbury (41%)
W
Torquay (53%)
W
Eastbourne (24%)
D
Enfield T (38%)
L
Chesham (43%)
D
Weston-s-Mare (40%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Dover A
2 - 2 D
25%
Chelmsford H
0 - 2 L
40%
Bath A
2 - 4 L
38%
Slough H
4 - 1 W
21%
Hemel H A
3 - 0 W
45%
Enfield T A
4 - 3 W
38%
Tonbridge H
1 - 0 W
42%
Hornchurch H
1 - 2 L
53%
Maidstone H
4 - 2 W
57%
Totton H
1 - 2 L
38%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Wealdstone A
0 - 1 L
48%
Weston-s-Mare H
1 - 1 D
36%
Salisbury H
1 - 1 D
41%
Torquay A
2 - 1 W
53%
Eastbourne H
3 - 1 W
24%
Enfield T A
0 - 0 D
38%
Chesham H
0 - 3 L
43%
Weston-s-Mare A
0 - 0 D
40%
Dorking A
1 - 2 L
39%
Bath A
3 - 0 W
38%

AI Analysis

A statistical edge is evident here, but the trailing side carries enough threat to keep this competitive. Once opponent quality is accounted for, the differential softens somewhat without fundamentally altering the overall outlook.

Both teams have faced similar levels of opposition (SoS: 35.8 vs 36.6), making the raw statistics a reliable comparison tool in this matchup.

Chesham's attack is on another level, averaging 2.2 goals per match with K. Yearn leading the charge (7 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

The numbers tell a compelling defensive story for Hemel H — 1.0 goals conceded per game and 3 clean sheets put them well ahead of Chesham, who give up 1.8 goals per match at the other end.

Chesham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Hemel H has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Based on the combined statistics, expect 3.0 total goals. Over 2.5 goals is the statistical lean, with BTTS (Both Teams to Score) being likely.

📈 Form Momentum: Chesham has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chesham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.8 goals per match. If Hemel H can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 5.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 64% win probability for Chesham. In practical terms, Chesham would win 6 out of 10 such matchups.

While Chesham holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 5.7-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Chesham prevailed 0-3 against Hemel H. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Chesham achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Hemel H shows genuine quality and mental strength. The 0-3 scoreline was emphatic — Chesham completely dominated Hemel H in that encounter, raising serious questions about Hemel H's ability to compete at this level. Hemel H will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Chesham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Chesham

Chesham

VS
Hemel H

Hemel H

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Chesham

5W 1D 4L · 22 goals scored · 18 conceded

Hemel H

3W 4D 3L · 11 goals scored · 10 conceded

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