Chicago vs New York Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

While the data leans decisively toward one side, dismissing the underdog would be premature. Adjusting for strength of schedule brings the margins closer together, yet the broader trend holds firm throughout the analysis.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (54.0 vs 54.2), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Chicago leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.8 goals per game compared to New York's 1.5 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

The defensive records are closely aligned, with Chicago giving up 1.5 and New York giving up 1.6 per fixture.

Chicago has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

New York has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Chicago has an exceptional home record with a 75% win rate at their home ground. When playing at home, they become significantly more dangerous.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.2 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

📈 Form Momentum: Chicago has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.9 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chicago faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If New York can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 9.9-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 75% win probability for Chicago. In practical terms, Chicago would win 7 out of 10 such matchups.

While Chicago holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 9.9-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

These teams have faced each other 2 times in their recent matches, adding extra spice to this rivalry. These two teams drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer (2026-08-23). The stalemate suggests these sides are closely matched, and another tight contest could be on the cards. With the previous match ending in a draw, neither side holds a psychological edge. Both teams will feel they have a genuine chance of winning. In their recent US Major League Soccer match (2026-05-09), New York prevailed 1-3 against Chicago. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, New York achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Chicago shows genuine quality and mental strength. Chicago will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. New York will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.