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Compare Chippenham vs Bath

Chippenham vs Bath Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Chippenham vs Bath: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Chippenham Chippenham Home Team
Bath Bath Away Team
Chippenham
40.4
W L L D W L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Bath
36.1
D L L W L W L W L D

Performance Radar

Chippenham
Bath

Categories Won

6

Chippenham

4

Draw

5

Bath

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

30%

3W, 2D, 5L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

1.6

16 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.2

22 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-6

-6

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

10%

1 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

90%

9 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

70%

7 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Chukwu (3 goals)
S. Wilson (4 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 8 / 2nd Half: 8
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

40%

2W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.1

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 37.5

40.6

League Difficulty: 33.0, Opponent Quality: 45.7

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.21

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.39

1.4

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.2

Adjusted Power Rating
40.4

Attack: 45.4, Defense: 42.5, Form: 34.0

36.1

Attack: 48.3, Defense: 24.2, Form: 27.2

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

3
2

16-30'

3
1

31-45'

2
5

46-60'

2
3

61-75'

1
3

76-90+'

3
Chippenham
Bath
Chippenham

Power Rating Breakdown

40.4

Overall

Attack 45.4
Defense 42.5
Form 34.0
Consistency 39.7
Bath

Power Rating Breakdown

36.1

Overall

Attack 48.3
Defense 24.2
Form 27.2
Consistency 49.3

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 33.0

Opponent Quality

37.5 vs 45.7

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Chippenham logo Chippenham
W
Swindon (30%)
L
Horsham (38%)
L
Hornchurch (53%)
D
Hampton & RB (44%)
W
Totton (38%)
L
Bath (38%)
L
Chelmsford (40%)
W
Eastbourne (24%)
Bath logo Bath
D
Newport (45%)
L
Plymouth (62%)
L
Maidstone (57%)
W
Dorking (39%)
L
Totton (43%)
W
Chesham (43%)
L
Torquay (53%)
W
Chippenham (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Swindon H
1 - 0 W
30%
Horsham A
2 - 3 L
38%
Hornchurch H
1 - 3 L
53%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 1 D
44%
Totton H
2 - 0 W
38%
Bath A
0 - 1 L
38%
Chelmsford H
0 - 1 L
40%
Eastbourne H
5 - 2 W
24%
Dover A
2 - 1 W
25%
Hemel H A
2 - 3 L
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Newport H
2 - 2 D
45%
Plymouth H
0 - 3 L
62%
Maidstone H
2 - 3 L
57%
Dorking A
3 - 1 W
39%
Totton A
1 - 2 L
43%
Chesham H
4 - 2 W
43%
Torquay A
1 - 4 L
53%
Chippenham H
1 - 0 W
38%
Maidenhead A
0 - 3 L
48%
Eastbourne A
2 - 2 D
29%

AI Analysis

On paper, these teams are closely aligned, and the data backs that up. Raw statistics can be misleading without context, but strength-of-opponent adjustments reinforce just how competitive this matchup is. Neither side has padded their numbers against weak opposition.

The level of competition each team has encountered is broadly aligned (SoS: 35.1 vs 40.6), which adds credibility to any direct statistical comparisons drawn between these two sides.

Both teams are evenly matched in attack, with Chippenham averaging 1.6 and Bath averaging 1.6 goals per match.

Defensively, Chippenham holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Bath's 2.2.

Chippenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Bath has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Statistical modeling projects 3.5 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chippenham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Bath can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: Bath's superior Strength of Schedule means their statistics were earned against tougher opponents. A team that performs well against strong opposition is more likely to maintain that level in any given match.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Bath prevailed 1-0 against Chippenham. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Bath secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. The narrow 1-0 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Chippenham will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Bath will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Chippenham

Chippenham

VS
Bath

Bath

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

Compare Another Pair

Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Chippenham

4W 1D 5L · 16 goals scored · 15 conceded

Bath

3W 2D 5L · 16 goals scored · 22 conceded

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