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Compare Chippenham vs Dover

Chippenham vs Dover Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

Compare Chippenham vs Dover: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.

Chippenham Chippenham Home Team
Dover Dover Away Team
Chippenham
40.4
W L L D W L L W W L

Last 10 Matches

Dover
26.3
L D L L L L L L W L

Performance Radar

Chippenham
Dover

Categories Won

8

Chippenham

4

Draw

3

Dover

Statistical Comparison

Win Percentage
40%

4W, 1D, 5L

10%

1W, 1D, 8L

Goals Scored / Match
1.6

16 / 10 matches

0.8

8 / 10 matches

Goals Conceded / Match
1.5

15 / 10 matches

2.3

23 / 10 matches

Goal Difference
+1

+1

-15

-15

Clean Sheet
20%

2 / 10 matches

0%

0 / 10 matches

Over 2.5 Goals
50%

5 / 10 matches

80%

8 / 10 matches

Both Teams to Score
60%

6 / 10 matches

60%

6 / 10 matches

Top Scorer
A. Chukwu (3 goals)
G. Nikaj (5 goals)
Most Goals by Half
1st Half: 6 / 2nd Half: 10
1st Half: 4 / 2nd Half: 4
Home Win Rate
60%

3W / 5 matches

0%

0W / 5 matches

Away Win Rate
20%

1W / 5 matches

20%

1W / 5 matches

Schedule Strength (SoS)
35.1

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 37.5

39.7

League Difficulty: 31.5, Opponent Quality: 45.1

Elite Opponent Record
0%

0W / 0 matches

0%

0W / 0 matches

Expected Goals (xG)
1.21

Actual: 1.6 | Diff: +0.39

0.65

Actual: 0.8 | Diff: +0.15

Adjusted Power Rating
40.4

Attack: 45.4, Defense: 42.5, Form: 34.0

26.3

Attack: 23.9, Defense: 20.9, Form: 9.0

Goal Timing Analysis

1

0-15'

2
2

16-30'

1
1

31-45'

1
5

46-60'

1
3

61-75'

3

76-90+'

3
Chippenham
Dover
Chippenham

Power Rating Breakdown

40.4

Overall

Attack 45.4
Defense 42.5
Form 34.0
Consistency 39.7
Dover

Power Rating Breakdown

26.3

Overall

Attack 23.9
Defense 20.9
Form 9.0
Consistency 74.8

Strength of Schedule

Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.

League Difficulty

31.5 vs 31.5

Opponent Quality

37.5 vs 45.1

Elite Opponent Record

0% vs 0%
Chippenham logo Chippenham
W
Swindon (30%)
L
Horsham (38%)
L
Hornchurch (53%)
D
Hampton & RB (44%)
W
Totton (38%)
L
Bath (38%)
L
Chelmsford (40%)
W
Eastbourne (24%)
Dover logo Dover
L
Gillingham (45%)
D
Chesham (43%)
L
Maidenhead (48%)
L
Farnborough (43%)
L
Ebbsfleet (48%)
L
Maidstone (57%)
L
Salisbury (46%)
L
Enfield T (38%)

Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.

Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Swindon H
1 - 0 W
30%
Horsham A
2 - 3 L
38%
Hornchurch H
1 - 3 L
53%
Hampton & RB A
1 - 1 D
44%
Totton H
2 - 0 W
38%
Bath A
0 - 1 L
38%
Chelmsford H
0 - 1 L
40%
Eastbourne H
5 - 2 W
24%
Dover A
2 - 1 W
25%
Hemel H A
2 - 3 L
45%
Opponent Breakdown
Opponent Breakdown
Score
Opp. Quality
Gillingham H
0 - 3 L
45%
Chesham H
2 - 2 D
43%
Maidenhead A
0 - 1 L
48%
Farnborough H
1 - 3 L
43%
Ebbsfleet A
0 - 4 L
48%
Maidstone H
0 - 2 L
57%
Salisbury A
1 - 2 L
46%
Enfield T A
1 - 3 L
38%
Chelmsford A
2 - 1 W
45%
Chippenham H
1 - 2 L
38%

AI Analysis

The statistics point to a clear direction in this matchup, though the underdog should not be underestimated. When we factor in the quality of opponents each team has faced, the gap narrows slightly but the overall picture remains consistent.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (35.1 vs 39.7), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Chippenham leads the attacking statistics, averaging 1.6 goals per game compared to Dover's 0.8 — a meaningful but far from decisive advantage.

Defensively, Chippenham holds the advantage — allowing just 1.5 goals per game against Dover's 2.3.

Chippenham has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Dover has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Crunching the numbers, this match averages out to 3.1 total goals. Going Over 2.5 carries the stronger statistical case, with the BTTS market looking likely given current form.

❄️ Form Momentum: Dover is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Chippenham is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Dover shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Chippenham faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.5 goals per match. If Dover can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 14.1-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Chippenham. In practical terms, Chippenham would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

While Chippenham holds a measurable edge in the adjusted standings, the 14.1-point differential in power ratings indicates a competitive matchup rather than a clear-cut outcome.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-03-14), Chippenham prevailed 1-2 against Dover. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Notably, Chippenham achieved this result away from home, which is particularly impressive. Winning on the road against Dover shows genuine quality and mental strength. The narrow 1-2 result shows how tight these encounters are. A single moment of quality or a tactical tweak could swing the next meeting either way. Dover will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Chippenham will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.

Match Simulator

AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics

Chippenham

Chippenham

VS
Dover

Dover

In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.

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Comparison Summary

This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.

Chippenham

4W 1D 5L · 16 goals scored · 15 conceded

Dover

1W 1D 8L · 8 goals scored · 23 conceded

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