Chorley vs Fylde Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison

When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.

With comparable strength of schedule figures (38.9 vs 38.6), the opposition quality faced by both sides has been largely equivalent, giving these head-to-head stats greater analytical validity.

Fylde's attack is on another level, averaging 2.1 goals per match with L. Thomas leading the charge (5 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.

Both defenses are comparable, with Chorley conceding 1.1 and Fylde conceding 1.4 per match.

Chorley has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Fylde has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.

Fylde is a strong road performer with a 60% away win rate, proving they can deliver results regardless of venue.

Statistical modeling projects 2.6 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at unlikely based on both sides' scoring records.

❄️ Form Momentum: Chorley is struggling for form, winning just 2 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.

📈 Form Momentum: Fylde has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.8 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.

📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Fylde is on the rise with 6W in last 10, while Chorley shows signs of decline with 2W in last 10.

⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Fylde faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 1.4 goals per match. If Chorley can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.

💡 Why This Matters: The 17.7-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Fylde. In practical terms, Fylde would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.

Based on the available data, Fylde holds the stronger position heading into this matchup. A power rating of 51.6 against 33.9 underlines their overall quality advantage and makes them the logical pick to come out on top.

In their recent National League N / S match (2026-04-03), Chorley prevailed 2-0 against Fylde. This result provides valuable insight into how these teams match up against each other. Chorley secured this victory at home, where they tend to be strongest. However, the next encounter could present a different challenge if the venue changes. Fylde will be eager to avenge this defeat. The desire for revenge can be a powerful motivator, and they may come into the next meeting with extra determination. Chorley will carry a psychological advantage from this recent victory. Knowing you've beaten your opponent recently provides a significant confidence boost.