Cincinnati vs Montréal Head-to-Head Stats and Form Comparison
Compare Cincinnati vs Montréal: head-to-head stats, recent form, goals, defensive record and strength indicators from last matches.
Cincinnati
Home Team
Montréal
Away Team
Compare...
Performance Radar
Categories Won
Cincinnati
Draw
Montréal
Statistical Comparison
4W, 4D, 2L
1W, 6D, 3L
27 / 10 matches
13 / 10 matches
22 / 10 matches
16 / 10 matches
+5
-3
0 / 10 matches
1 / 10 matches
8 / 10 matches
5 / 10 matches
10 / 10 matches
6 / 10 matches
4W / 6 matches
0W / 7 matches
0W / 4 matches
1W / 3 matches
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 50.4
League Difficulty: 55.0, Opponent Quality: 51.4
0W / 0 matches
0W / 1 matches
Actual: 2.7 | Diff: +0.16
Actual: 1.3 | Diff: +0.14
Attack: 92.0, Defense: 27.3, Form: 40.9
Attack: 39.0, Defense: 42.0, Form: 9.0
Goal Timing Analysis
0-15'
16-30'
31-45'
46-60'
61-75'
76-90+'
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Power Rating Breakdown
Overall
Strength of Schedule
Measures the difficulty of opponents faced. Higher = tougher schedule.
League Difficulty
Opponent Quality
Elite Opponent Record
Cincinnati
Montréal
Opponent Quality: Quality blends league strength, recent points form, goal difference, and home/away context. It is not only club size or reputation.
AI Analysis
When we look at the raw statistics, both teams appear to be in form, but applying the Strength of Schedule adjustment reveals a significant quality gap. The favorite has been tested against tougher opposition and has consistently delivered.
Cincinnati has faced significantly tougher opposition (SoS: 52.2) compared to Montréal (SoS: 40.0). This means Cincinnati's statistics carry more weight - they've been battle-tested against quality opponents.
Cincinnati's attack is on another level, averaging 2.7 goals per match with Evander leading the charge (8 goals). This firepower makes them dangerous in any fixture.
Montréal has the defensive edge, conceding 1.6 per match compared to Cincinnati's 2.2.
Cincinnati has not faced any elite-level opponents in their recent matches, making it difficult to assess their ceiling.
Statistical modeling projects 3.9 goals in this fixture. The data points Over 2.5 as the value threshold, while BTTS stands at likely based on both sides' scoring records.
📈 Form Momentum: Cincinnati has been remarkably consistent, maintaining a steady 1.6 points per game over their last 10 matches. This stability makes them a predictable but reliable force.
❄️ Form Momentum: Montréal is struggling for form, winning just 1 of their last 10 matches. Teams in this state often lack the confidence to compete in tight moments.
📊 Key Trend: The form trajectories are diverging. Cincinnati is on the rise with 4W in last 10, while Montréal shows signs of decline with 1W in last 10.
⚠️ Risk Factor: Despite being the statistical favorite, Cincinnati faces a key vulnerability: their defense concedes 2.2 goals per match. If Montréal can exploit this, an upset becomes plausible.
💡 Why This Matters: The 18.4-point power rating gap between these teams translates to approximately a 85% win probability for Cincinnati. In practical terms, Cincinnati would win 8 out of 10 such matchups.
Cincinnati emerges as the favorite in this matchup. With a stronger overall power rating (55.2 vs 36.8) and advantages in key areas, they should have enough to prevail.
Match Simulator
AI-powered match simulation based on real statistics
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Cincinnati
Montréal
In H2H (head-to-head) matchups, to eliminate momentary fluctuations and coincidences, we limit our analyses to an optimal depth of exactly 10 matches. Neither less, nor more. This focused approach is our undisputed gold standard, revealing the tactical and psychological supremacy teams hold over each other in its purest form. We do not dwell on the noise of the past; we concentrate on the millimetric precision of current form.
Comparison Summary
This head-to-head comparison analyzes the last 10 matches of each team, evaluating attack power, defensive strength, form consistency, and overall performance metrics. The power ratings are calculated using a weighted algorithm that considers goals scored, goals conceded, win rate, and recent form trends.
Cincinnati
4W 4D 2L · 27 goals scored · 22 conceded
Montréal
1W 6D 3L · 13 goals scored · 16 conceded
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